Kaluga vs Metallurg Lipetsk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.5%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
45.3%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.6%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
1º
7º
4º
34
5º
11º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
4º
|
35 | 25 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
38 | 23 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
36 | 23 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
|
7º
|
33 | 20 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
1º
|
46 | 19 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 17 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
34 | 17 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 15 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 14 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 12 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 9 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
20 | 9 |
12º
|
0% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kaluga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
DIN
7 - 0
KAL
64%
24%
13%
|
40 | 51 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
KAL
0 - 0
FKS
50%
24%
26%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 May. 2023 |
ZVE
0 - 1
KAL
37%
29%
35%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2023 |
KAL
1 - 2
FRM
46%
26%
28%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2023 |
AVA
0 - 1
KAL
51%
26%
24%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Metallurg Lipetsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
MET
2 - 0
FKK
47%
25%
28%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
SAL
0 - 0
MET
63%
21%
16%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
MET
4 - 2
SAT
54%
25%
22%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2023 |
FDV
3 - 1
MET
39%
26%
35%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2023 |
MET
2 - 0
SOK
22%
26%
51%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | +2 |