Kaluga vs Metallurg Vidnoye analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.3%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.4%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.4%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.3%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.3%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.9%
7.8%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kaluga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2021 |
SAK
1 - 1
KAL
38%
27%
36%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2021 |
KAL
4 - 2
KHI
73%
17%
10%
|
45 | 32 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2021 |
FKO
2 - 2
KAL
20%
25%
55%
|
46 | 29 | 17 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2021 |
KAL
3 - 1
KHI
50%
25%
25%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2021 |
KAL
1 - 0
SAT
29%
25%
47%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | +2 |
Matches
Metallurg Vidnoye
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2021 |
FMV
3 - 1
AVA
10%
19%
72%
|
27 | 53 | 26 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2021 |
SOK
5 - 0
FMV
82%
13%
5%
|
27 | 52 | 25 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2021 |
FMV
1 - 1
SAT
10%
18%
72%
|
25 | 48 | 23 | +2 |
| 29 Apr. 2021 |
SAK
3 - 2
FMV
77%
14%
10%
|
26 | 39 | 13 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2021 |
FMV
0 - 5
SAL
14%
22%
64%
|
27 | 49 | 22 | -1 |