Kaluga vs FC Oryol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.6%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
22.6%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kaluga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2014 |
FAK
2 - 0
KAL
66%
21%
13%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2014 |
KAL
2 - 2
MET
47%
25%
28%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2014 |
ZEN
0 - 0
KAL
39%
28%
33%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
KAL
2 - 1
LOK
58%
23%
19%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2014 |
AVA
0 - 1
KAL
44%
26%
30%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
FC Oryol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2014 |
FCO
3 - 1
MET
39%
26%
35%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2014 |
LOK
0 - 1
FCO
43%
26%
31%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
POD
0 - 1
FCO
60%
22%
18%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | +2 |
| 21 Apr. 2014 |
FCO
0 - 1
FCM
57%
23%
20%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | -2 |
| 15 Apr. 2014 |
SOK
3 - 1
FCO
69%
20%
11%
|
41 | 53 | 12 | 0 |