Kaluga vs Avangard Kursk analysis

Kaluga Avangard Kursk
48 ELO 50
-8.7% Tilt -19.4%
5802º General ELO ranking 5768º
79º Country ELO ranking 78º
ELO win probability
35.7%
Kaluga
28.1%
Draw
36.2%
Avangard Kursk

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.7%
Win probability
Kaluga
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.5%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.1%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.1%
36.2%
Win probability
Avangard Kursk
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Kaluga
+14%
+9%
Avangard Kursk

ELO progression

Kaluga
Avangard Kursk
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Kaluga
Kaluga
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Sep. 2016
SAT
FC Saturn
1 - 1
Kaluga
KAL
43%
27%
31%
47 44 3 0
17 Sep. 2016
KAL
Kaluga
1 - 1
Energomash
ENE
23%
25%
52%
46 59 13 +1
03 Sep. 2016
KAL
Kaluga
2 - 2
Zenit Penza
ZEN
49%
27%
25%
46 46 0 0
28 Aug. 2016
MET
Metallurg Lipetsk
1 - 0
Kaluga
KAL
57%
24%
20%
47 48 1 -1
18 Aug. 2016
TOR
Torpedo Moscow
1 - 1
Kaluga
KAL
76%
17%
7%
46 69 23 +1

Matches

Avangard Kursk
Avangard Kursk
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Sep. 2016
AVA
Avangard Kursk
0 - 1
Torpedo Moscow
TOR
21%
28%
51%
51 68 17 0
17 Sep. 2016
ZVE
FK Ryazan
1 - 1
Avangard Kursk
AVA
44%
28%
28%
51 52 1 0
11 Sep. 2016
AVA
Avangard Kursk
3 - 0
Vityaz Podolsk
VIT
48%
25%
27%
50 47 3 +1
02 Sep. 2016
CHE
Chertanovo
0 - 1
Avangard Kursk
AVA
28%
25%
47%
50 37 13 0
25 Aug. 2016
AVA
Avangard Kursk
0 - 0
FK Orel
ORE
70%
19%
11%
50 39 11 0
X