Kaluga vs Avangard Kursk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.4%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
35.2%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kaluga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2013 |
MET
1 - 4
KAL
43%
26%
32%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
KAL
1 - 1
VIT
36%
25%
39%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2013 |
POD
2 - 2
KAL
53%
24%
23%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2013 |
KAL
0 - 0
TAM
23%
25%
52%
|
43 | 57 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2013 |
FCM
2 - 1
KAL
31%
27%
42%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Avangard Kursk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2013 |
VIT
0 - 1
AVA
45%
25%
30%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
AVA
0 - 0
TAM
29%
26%
45%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2013 |
DIN
0 - 1
AVA
35%
25%
39%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2013 |
AVA
2 - 3
SPA
35%
26%
39%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2013 |
FCO
0 - 1
AVA
52%
24%
24%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | +1 |