Kalmar FF vs Malmö FF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.6%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.3%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
39%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
12º
16º
13º
49
1º
1º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
49 | 61 |
1º
|
85.5% | |
|
2º
|
42 | 53 |
2º
|
44.5% | |
|
3º
|
40 | 51 |
3º
|
30.5% | |
|
5º
|
36 | 48 |
4º
|
15% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 48 |
5º
|
19% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 47 |
6º
|
13% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 47 |
7º
|
16% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 45 |
8º
|
19.5% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 45 |
9º
|
18% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 37 |
10º
|
28% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 37 |
11º
|
27.5% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 33 |
12º
|
26.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
21 | 32 |
13º
|
21% | |
|
15º
|
20 | 29 |
14º
|
27.5% | |
|
14º
|
21 | 29 |
15º
|
32% | |
|
16º
|
18 | 26 |
16º
|
53.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 85.5% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 13.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
73% | 1% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
12% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
15% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kalmar FF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2024 |
ANG
0 - 4
KAL
8%
16%
76%
|
80 | 51 | 29 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
VAS
2 - 1
KAL
31%
26%
43%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
SIR
3 - 1
KAL
48%
24%
28%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
KAL
1 - 4
HIF
40%
27%
33%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
NOR
2 - 0
KAL
43%
25%
32%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Malmö FF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2024 |
MFF
0 - 2
SPA
37%
24%
39%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
MFF
2 - 1
NOR
39%
25%
36%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2024 |
PAO
3 - 4
MFF
50%
22%
27%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
HAL
0 - 1
MFF
27%
25%
48%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2024 |
MFF
2 - 2
PAO
41%
25%
35%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |