Cup 1/16
Global 4-3
Athens Kallithea vs Aris Thessaloniki analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.3%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.5%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.2%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.3%
66.4%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
15%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.2%
0-2
14%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.6%
0-3
8.7%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
11.7%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athens Kallithea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
KAL
1 - 1
IRA
52%
24%
24%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2012 |
ERG
2 - 1
KAL
72%
19%
9%
|
41 | 59 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2012 |
KAL
1 - 0
NIK
48%
26%
26%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | +2 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
THR
0 - 0
KAL
41%
27%
32%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
KAL
3 - 3
PAN
49%
24%
27%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Aris Thessaloniki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
TRI
1 - 1
ARI
49%
26%
25%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
ARI
1 - 1
ATR
53%
26%
21%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2012 |
PFC
4 - 0
ARI
15%
25%
61%
|
81 | 57 | 24 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
ARI
1 - 2
GIA
60%
24%
16%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
LEV
2 - 1
ARI
21%
27%
52%
|
81 | 63 | 18 | 0 |