Kalisz vs SKRA Częstochowa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.3%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.4%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.9%
10.9%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-31%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
14
4º
10º
6º
0
13º
18º
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
18º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
21 | 69 |
1º
|
46.5% | |
|
2º
|
20 | 62 |
2º
|
16% | |
|
3º
|
19 | 61 |
3º
|
19.5% | |
|
4º
|
16 | 58 |
4º
|
11.5% | |
|
6º
|
16 | 58 |
5º
|
11.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
14 | 56 |
6º
|
12.5% | |
|
5º
|
16 | 55 |
7º
|
11.5% | |
|
7º
|
16 | 55 |
8º
|
8.5% | |
|
12º
|
9 | 48 |
9º
|
8.5% | |
|
11º
|
10 | 46 |
10º
|
7% | |
|
10º
|
11 | 44 |
11º
|
10% | |
|
8º
|
14 | 44 |
12º
|
12.5% | |
|
15º
|
6 | 39 |
13º
|
9.5% | |
|
13º
|
8 | 38 |
14º
|
12% | |
|
16º
|
5 | 38 |
15º
|
9% | |
|
14º
|
8 | 35 |
16º
|
18.5% | |
|
|
18º
|
0 | 27 |
17º
|
22.5% | |
|
17º
|
5 | 25 |
18º
|
39.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
10.5% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
48% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
37.5% | 4.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
2.5% | 13% |
|
Relegation
|
1.5% | 82.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kalisz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
SKO
1 - 1
KAL
32%
27%
41%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
CHR
2 - 0
KAL
40%
26%
35%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2024 |
KAL
2 - 0
SOK
81%
13%
6%
|
67 | 44 | 23 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
KAL
2 - 2
GKS
83%
12%
5%
|
67 | 42 | 25 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
KAL
1 - 2
STA
57%
23%
20%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
SKRA Częstochowa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
LKS
3 - 1
SKR
49%
26%
25%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
GKS
2 - 3
SKR
20%
23%
57%
|
56 | 42 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
KAL
4 - 1
SKR
67%
21%
13%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
SKR
2 - 2
STO
37%
29%
33%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2024 |
STA
3 - 1
SKR
51%
26%
23%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | -1 |