Kalisz vs SKRA Częstochowa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.3%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.4%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.9%
10.9%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
4º
11º
5º
13
12º
17º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
17º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
49 | 79 |
1º
|
71.5% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 72 |
2º
|
42% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 71 |
3º
|
42.5% | |
|
4º
|
34 | 59 |
4º
|
51.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
29 | 51 |
5º
|
24% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 51 |
6º
|
20% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 48 |
7º
|
14.5% | |
|
5º
|
29 | 48 |
8º
|
12.5% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 46 |
9º
|
11% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 44 |
10º
|
13% | |
|
13º
|
19 | 41 |
11º
|
13.5% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 41 |
12º
|
11.5% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 40 |
13º
|
13.5% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 38 |
14º
|
9.5% | |
|
16º
|
15 | 33 |
15º
|
16.5% | |
|
|
17º
|
13 | 33 |
16º
|
29% | |
|
15º
|
16 | 32 |
17º
|
25% | |
|
18º
|
11 | 23 |
18º
|
79% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
56% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
41% | 12.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
2% | 15.5% |
|
Relegation
|
1% | 72% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kalisz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
SKO
1 - 1
KAL
32%
27%
41%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
CHR
2 - 0
KAL
40%
26%
35%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2024 |
KAL
2 - 0
SOK
81%
13%
6%
|
68 | 46 | 22 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
KAL
2 - 2
GKS
83%
12%
5%
|
68 | 43 | 25 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
KAL
1 - 2
STA
57%
23%
20%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
SKRA Częstochowa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
LKS
3 - 1
SKR
49%
26%
25%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
GKS
2 - 3
SKR
20%
23%
57%
|
57 | 44 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
KAL
4 - 1
SKR
67%
21%
13%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
SKR
2 - 2
STO
37%
29%
33%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2024 |
STA
3 - 1
SKR
51%
26%
23%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | -1 |