Kalisz vs Rekord Bielsko Biała analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.7%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
18.6%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
4º
11º
5º
17
12º
17º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
49 | 79 |
1º
|
71.5% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 72 |
2º
|
42% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 71 |
3º
|
42.5% | |
|
4º
|
34 | 59 |
4º
|
51.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
29 | 51 |
5º
|
24% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 51 |
6º
|
20% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 48 |
7º
|
14.5% | |
|
5º
|
29 | 48 |
8º
|
12.5% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 46 |
9º
|
11% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 44 |
10º
|
13% | |
|
13º
|
19 | 41 |
11º
|
13.5% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 41 |
12º
|
11.5% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 40 |
13º
|
13.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
17 | 38 |
14º
|
9.5% | |
|
16º
|
15 | 33 |
15º
|
16.5% | |
|
17º
|
13 | 33 |
16º
|
29% | |
|
15º
|
16 | 32 |
17º
|
25% | |
|
18º
|
11 | 23 |
18º
|
79% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
56% | 2% |
|
Mid-table
|
41% | 38.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
2% | 22% |
|
Relegation
|
1% | 37.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kalisz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
OLI
0 - 1
KAL
35%
28%
37%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
KAL
1 - 2
ZAG
64%
22%
15%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
CHO
0 - 1
KAL
46%
26%
28%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
KAL
0 - 2
WIE
61%
22%
18%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2024 |
KAL
0 - 2
OLI
62%
20%
18%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Rekord Bielsko Biała
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
REK
2 - 4
LKS
54%
23%
23%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
ZAG
3 - 3
REK
35%
25%
40%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
REK
2 - 3
RES
36%
26%
39%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
TSP
5 - 1
REK
60%
21%
19%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
OLI
0 - 1
REK
41%
26%
33%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | +1 |