Kalisz vs Olimpia Grudziadz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.9%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.3%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
17.7%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kalisz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
WIS
1 - 2
KAL
35%
27%
38%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2024 |
KAL
1 - 0
SKR
70%
19%
11%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | +1 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
SKO
1 - 1
KAL
32%
27%
41%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
CHR
2 - 0
KAL
40%
26%
35%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2024 |
KAL
2 - 0
SOK
81%
13%
6%
|
67 | 44 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Olimpia Grudziadz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
OLI
0 - 1
REK
41%
26%
33%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
TSP
2 - 0
OLI
58%
22%
20%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
ZAG
2 - 1
OLI
35%
27%
38%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
ARK
2 - 2
OLI
75%
16%
9%
|
60 | 77 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2024 |
OLI
2 - 2
TKP
67%
20%
14%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | 0 |