Kaliakra vs Svetkavitsa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.4%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
13%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.9%
14.8%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kaliakra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2011 |
VID
1 - 0
KAL
45%
27%
28%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
KAL
3 - 1
BER
25%
27%
48%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | +2 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
LPL
2 - 0
KAL
83%
13%
5%
|
59 | 77 | 18 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
KAL
1 - 2
CSK
17%
25%
58%
|
59 | 77 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
MON
2 - 1
KAL
56%
25%
19%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Svetkavitsa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
SVE
0 - 3
CHB
12%
24%
64%
|
49 | 76 | 27 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2011 |
LSO
4 - 1
SVE
86%
11%
3%
|
50 | 78 | 28 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
SVE
0 - 1
LUD
18%
24%
58%
|
50 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
LOV
6 - 0
SVE
84%
13%
4%
|
50 | 77 | 27 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
SVE
0 - 3
18%
26%
57%
|
51 | 72 | 21 | -1 |