Kaliakra vs Spartak Varna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.6%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
16.6%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kaliakra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
KAL
3 - 0
BGA
70%
20%
10%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
DOB
0 - 2
KAL
42%
28%
31%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
KAL
2 - 0
PIR
49%
25%
26%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
ASV
2 - 1
KAL
23%
26%
52%
|
57 | 43 | 14 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
LSO
3 - 0
KAL
59%
23%
18%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Spartak Varna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
FKV
1 - 1
SVA
43%
27%
30%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
SVA
1 - 2
MAR
35%
29%
36%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
DUN
2 - 0
SVA
40%
26%
34%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2013 |
SVA
0 - 3
FKH
54%
25%
21%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | -2 |
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
SVA
2 - 3
LOV
18%
23%
59%
|
57 | 76 | 19 | 0 |