Cup 1/16
Global 1-5
Kaliakra vs Lokomotiv Sofia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
34.4%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kaliakra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2013 |
KAL
0 - 2
FKH
76%
16%
8%
|
62 | 47 | 15 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
RAK
1 - 2
KAL
47%
26%
27%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
KAL
1 - 1
BAN
45%
26%
29%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
BVR
2 - 2
KAL
51%
25%
24%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
KAL
2 - 1
MON
60%
22%
18%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Lokomotiv Sofia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
LSO
1 - 0
BER
34%
28%
38%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2013 |
LPL
3 - 1
LSO
63%
21%
16%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
LSO
1 - 1
CSK
28%
28%
45%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2013 |
SSO
3 - 1
LSO
57%
24%
19%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2013 |
LSO
2 - 1
CHB
33%
29%
39%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | +2 |