Kakamega Homeboyz vs Tusker FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.1%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
34.1%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
49
3º
15º
8º
66
1º
7º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
67 | 70 |
1º
|
80% | |
|
|
2º
|
66 | 69 |
2º
|
62% | |
|
3º
|
63 | 66 |
3º
|
36.5% | |
|
4º
|
63 | 66 |
4º
|
34.5% | |
|
6º
|
60 | 64 |
5º
|
39% | |
|
5º
|
63 | 64 |
6º
|
43% | |
|
7º
|
51 | 51 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
49 | 49 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
46 | 47 |
9º
|
98% | |
|
12º
|
40 | 43 |
10º
|
27.5% | |
|
11º
|
41 | 42 |
11º
|
27% | |
|
10º
|
41 | 41 |
12º
|
48% | |
|
14º
|
36 | 37 |
13º
|
50% | |
|
13º
|
36 | 36 |
14º
|
55.5% | |
|
15º
|
34 | 35 |
15º
|
52% | |
|
16º
|
29 | 33 |
16º
|
78% | |
|
17º
|
23 | 24 |
17º
|
97.5% | |
|
18º
|
12 | 13 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CAF Champions League
|
0% | 14% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 86% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kakamega Homeboyz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 2022 |
KAK
2 - 0
KAS
63%
22%
16%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2022 |
TLT
0 - 2
KAK
34%
28%
38%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 May. 2022 |
KAK
0 - 2
AFC
52%
25%
23%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
GOR
1 - 1
KAK
38%
27%
35%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
KAK
2 - 1
KCB
53%
25%
22%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Tusker FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 2022 |
TUS
2 - 0
POS
59%
24%
17%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2022 |
BFC
0 - 2
TUS
26%
28%
46%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
MAT
0 - 2
TUS
9%
20%
71%
|
70 | 43 | 27 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
TUS
2 - 2
NZO
64%
23%
13%
|
70 | 55 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
NAI
0 - 0
TUS
31%
26%
43%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |