Kaizer Chiefs vs Orlando Pirates analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.4%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.2%
32.4%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+35%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
5º
12º
10º
50
2º
13º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
73 | 73 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
50 | 50 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 45 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 34 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
33 | 33 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
32 | 32 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
30 | 30 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
23 | 23 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CAF Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
CAF Confederation Cup
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kaizer Chiefs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2023 |
CHI
3 - 2
AJA
62%
24%
14%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
GOL
2 - 1
CHI
48%
27%
25%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
CHI
0 - 1
AMA
47%
26%
27%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2023 |
CHI
0 - 1
MPU
43%
28%
29%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
CHI
2 - 1
SUF
50%
28%
23%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Orlando Pirates
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2023 |
PIR
1 - 0
SUF
52%
27%
21%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
RIB
0 - 0
PIR
21%
24%
54%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2023 |
AJA
2 - 1
PIR
21%
27%
52%
|
74 | 59 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2023 |
PIR
1 - 1
POL
55%
25%
20%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2023 |
AMA
0 - 0
PIR
37%
29%
34%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |