Kaizer Chiefs vs Swallows FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.9%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
6.7%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
16.2%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.4%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
11.7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
27.6%
20.4%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
5º
12º
10º
32
2º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
73 | 73 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 50 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 45 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 34 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
33 | 33 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
32 | 32 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
30 | 30 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
23 | 23 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CAF Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
CAF Confederation Cup
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kaizer Chiefs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
CHI
0 - 0
MIL
76%
16%
8%
|
74 | 20 | 54 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
RKF
0 - 0
CHI
37%
29%
34%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2023 |
SUF
1 - 1
CHI
34%
30%
36%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2023 |
CHI
1 - 0
RIB
63%
24%
14%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
POL
0 - 1
CHI
30%
29%
41%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Swallows FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
PCR
0 - 0
SWA
17%
21%
62%
|
69 | 54 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
SWA
0 - 1
POL
45%
27%
28%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Dec. 2023 |
RKF
0 - 0
SWA
47%
28%
26%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2023 |
SWA
1 - 2
SSU
39%
29%
32%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2023 |
PIR
2 - 0
SWA
50%
28%
22%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |