Kaizer Chiefs vs Free State Stars analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.8%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
28.3%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kaizer Chiefs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2018 |
CHI
1 - 3
BID
45%
30%
25%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2018 |
SUN
1 - 1
CHI
52%
26%
23%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2018 |
AJA
1 - 2
CHI
35%
29%
36%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
CHI
2 - 0
MAR
36%
30%
34%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2018 |
GOL
3 - 1
CHI
36%
29%
35%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Free State Stars
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2018 |
FRE
2 - 1
MAR
38%
28%
33%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2018 |
BID
3 - 0
FRE
44%
28%
29%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2018 |
MAR
0 - 1
FRE
52%
24%
24%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2018 |
PIR
2 - 1
FRE
55%
25%
20%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
FRE
0 - 0
POL
42%
27%
32%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |