Kaizer Chiefs vs Free State Stars analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.8%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
10%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
14%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.8%
23.4%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kaizer Chiefs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
CHI
1 - 0
PLS
57%
26%
17%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
CHI
0 - 3
CHI
56%
27%
17%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | -2 |
| 04 Apr. 2018 |
FRE
0 - 1
CHI
31%
29%
40%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
CHI
1 - 0
BAR
44%
27%
29%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | +2 |
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
CHI
0 - 0
AMA
59%
26%
16%
|
74 | 59 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Free State Stars
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
FRE
1 - 1
BLO
48%
28%
24%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
GOL
1 - 1
FRE
43%
28%
29%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2018 |
FRE
0 - 1
CHI
31%
29%
40%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
CAP
1 - 1
FRE
17%
21%
62%
|
67 | 50 | 17 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
CHI
1 - 0
FRE
39%
28%
33%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |