Kaizer Chiefs vs Free State Stars analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.9%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
26.2%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kaizer Chiefs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2016 |
CHI
0 - 0
BAR
47%
27%
25%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
PIR
0 - 0
CHI
49%
27%
24%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
CHI
0 - 0
MAR
50%
26%
25%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | -2 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
CHI
2 - 0
AJA
43%
28%
29%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2016 |
FRE
0 - 2
CHI
38%
29%
33%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Free State Stars
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2016 |
FRE
1 - 1
AJA
45%
26%
29%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
PAR
2 - 2
FRE
51%
28%
22%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
FRE
3 - 1
BID
26%
26%
48%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | +2 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
FRE
1 - 1
MAR
42%
27%
30%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2016 |
FRE
0 - 2
CHI
38%
29%
33%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | -1 |