Kaizer Chiefs vs Free State Stars analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.3%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
20.3%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kaizer Chiefs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
PLS
1 - 2
CHI
30%
29%
41%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2012 |
CHI
0 - 1
BLA
73%
19%
9%
|
74 | 56 | 18 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
BLA
0 - 4
CHI
29%
26%
45%
|
73 | 57 | 16 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2012 |
GOL
0 - 0
CHI
35%
27%
37%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2012 |
CHI
2 - 0
BLO
60%
24%
16%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Free State Stars
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
GOL
2 - 0
FRE
42%
26%
32%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2012 |
FRE
2 - 1
BLO
55%
26%
20%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2012 |
PIR
3 - 1
FRE
50%
28%
22%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
PIR
1 - 2
FRE
51%
26%
23%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2012 |
FRE
1 - 0
AJA
38%
26%
36%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | +1 |