Kaizer Chiefs vs Free State Stars analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.9%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
16%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.7%
26%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
26%
18.1%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kaizer Chiefs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
SUN
0 - 1
CHI
58%
24%
19%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2011 |
SSU
2 - 0
CHI
45%
27%
28%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
CHI
0 - 0
SAN
61%
23%
15%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2011 |
MAR
0 - 0
CHI
30%
28%
43%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
CHI
1 - 0
PLS
65%
22%
13%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Free State Stars
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
FRE
2 - 0
SAN
57%
24%
19%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2011 |
MAR
0 - 2
FRE
43%
28%
29%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
FRE
0 - 0
PLS
59%
24%
18%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2011 |
BLA
1 - 3
FRE
35%
29%
36%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
FRE
3 - 1
GOL
58%
24%
18%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | +1 |