Kaiserslautern vs Werder Bremen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.4%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
15.2%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kaiserslautern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 1978 |
SUL
2 - 1
KAI
15%
19%
66%
|
82 | 51 | 31 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1978 |
MON
5 - 1
KAI
66%
19%
16%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1978 |
KAI
2 - 1
BYM
52%
23%
25%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1978 |
ARB
0 - 1
KAI
34%
25%
41%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1978 |
KAI
2 - 1
EIN
44%
24%
31%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Werder Bremen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 1978 |
BRE
3 - 0
DAR
58%
22%
20%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1978 |
KOL
2 - 0
BRE
79%
14%
8%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 1978 |
BRE
1 - 1
HER
47%
25%
28%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1978 |
STU
1 - 1
BRE
68%
18%
14%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 1978 |
BRE
3 - 3
RTV
55%
23%
22%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | -1 |