Kaiserslautern vs VfR Mannheim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.6%
Win probability
3.48
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.1%
7-0
1.9%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.5%
6-0
3.8%
7-1
1.3%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.3%
5-0
6.5%
6-1
2.6%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.6%
4-0
9.3%
5-1
4.5%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.9%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.1%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.1%
8.3%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
3.7%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
8.3%
4%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kaiserslautern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jun. 1976 |
HSV
2 - 0
KAI
61%
20%
18%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 1976 |
KAI
1 - 3
S04
55%
22%
22%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 1976 |
F95
5 - 1
KAI
44%
23%
33%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 May. 1976 |
KAI
1 - 2
KFC
78%
14%
8%
|
83 | 66 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1976 |
BRE
3 - 2
KAI
31%
24%
45%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
VfR Mannheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 1975 |
KAI
2 - 0
VFR
85%
10%
5%
|
54 | 80 | 26 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 1975 |
VFR
2 - 2
SGF
55%
24%
21%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 1975 |
AUG
1 - 1
VFR
77%
15%
8%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 May. 1975 |
SAA
0 - 3
VFR
75%
17%
8%
|
51 | 66 | 15 | +3 |
| 24 May. 1975 |
VFR
4 - 2
HOM
36%
25%
39%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | +1 |