Kaiserslautern vs Ulm analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
18.6%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
2º
12º
3º
17
12º
17º
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
17º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
38 | 64 |
1º
|
33.5% | |
|
1º
|
40 | 64 |
2º
|
25.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
38 | 56 |
3º
|
17.5% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 55 |
4º
|
16.5% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 55 |
5º
|
19.5% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 53 |
6º
|
9.5% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 51 |
7º
|
11% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 51 |
8º
|
14% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 50 |
9º
|
11% | |
|
13º
|
25 | 46 |
10º
|
14.5% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 46 |
11º
|
19.5% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 43 |
12º
|
19% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 42 |
13º
|
21.5% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 41 |
14º
|
24.5% | |
|
15º
|
20 | 34 |
15º
|
34% | |
|
16º
|
18 | 30 |
16º
|
31% | |
|
|
17º
|
17 | 29 |
17º
|
41% | |
|
18º
|
14 | 25 |
18º
|
67.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
16% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
17.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
66.5% | 17.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 27% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 55.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kaiserslautern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2025 |
KAI
4 - 0
BRA
66%
20%
15%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
KAI
0 - 1
KOL
27%
23%
50%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
DAR
5 - 1
KAI
43%
25%
32%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
KAI
3 - 1
KSC
37%
23%
40%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2024 |
S04
0 - 3
KAI
43%
25%
32%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Ulm
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
ULM
0 - 1
ALT
46%
26%
29%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2025 |
ULM
2 - 2
ERZ
48%
24%
28%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
PRE
0 - 0
ULM
44%
26%
30%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
ULM
1 - 1
HSV
19%
20%
61%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
HAN
3 - 2
ULM
58%
23%
19%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |