Kaiserslautern vs MSV Duisburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.9%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.2%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
19.5%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kaiserslautern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 1979 |
STU
3 - 1
KAI
62%
20%
18%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 1979 |
KAI
4 - 0
F95
51%
24%
25%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Jun. 1979 |
KAI
1 - 1
RTV
65%
19%
16%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1979 |
BRE
3 - 1
KAI
44%
24%
32%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1979 |
KAI
1 - 3
MON
47%
24%
29%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
MSV Duisburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 1979 |
EBT
2 - 0
MSV
43%
26%
31%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 1979 |
MSV
1 - 1
STU
42%
25%
33%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 1979 |
MSV
0 - 2
EIN
45%
25%
30%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 1979 |
S04
2 - 1
MSV
52%
23%
25%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 May. 1979 |
MON
0 - 2
MSV
69%
18%
14%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |