Kaiserslautern vs MSV Duisburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.5%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
28.8%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kaiserslautern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 1964 |
BRE
1 - 1
KAI
62%
19%
20%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1964 |
KAI
0 - 1
EIN
33%
23%
43%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 1964 |
KSC
6 - 1
KAI
53%
21%
27%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 1964 |
EBT
2 - 0
KAI
37%
24%
40%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1964 |
KAI
2 - 1
STU
47%
23%
30%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
MSV Duisburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 1964 |
MSV
1 - 1
KSC
53%
23%
24%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1964 |
MUN
2 - 1
MSV
70%
17%
13%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 1964 |
MSV
2 - 1
S04
56%
22%
22%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1964 |
BRE
1 - 0
MSV
63%
19%
18%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1964 |
MSV
2 - 0
FCN
29%
23%
49%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | +1 |