Kaiserslautern vs FC 08 Homburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.6%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
4%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.2%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
17.5%
16.8%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kaiserslautern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 1987 |
KAI
3 - 0
KOL
45%
25%
30%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1987 |
EIN
0 - 2
KAI
51%
24%
26%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 1987 |
MON
1 - 0
KAI
72%
16%
12%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 1987 |
KAI
1 - 2
FCN
54%
22%
23%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1987 |
HOM
3 - 2
KAI
40%
25%
35%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
FC 08 Homburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 1987 |
LEV
2 - 1
HOM
62%
21%
17%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1987 |
HOM
2 - 2
STU
37%
25%
38%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1987 |
HOM
2 - 2
KFC
41%
26%
33%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1987 |
RTV
4 - 4
HOM
58%
22%
19%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1987 |
HOM
3 - 2
KAI
40%
25%
35%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | +1 |