Europa League 1/16
Global 3-2
Kaiserslautern vs Fabril Barreiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.6%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.7%
3-0
8%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.2%
13.1%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kaiserslautern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 1972 |
KAI
2 - 2
RTV
58%
22%
20%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1972 |
F95
2 - 1
KAI
40%
25%
35%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1972 |
KAI
2 - 1
KOL
35%
27%
38%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1972 |
FAB
1 - 3
KAI
40%
22%
38%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 1972 |
KAI
2 - 1
HAN
57%
23%
21%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Fabril Barreiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 1972 |
FAB
1 - 1
FAR
73%
17%
10%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1972 |
BMA
1 - 2
FAB
42%
29%
29%
|
72 | 57 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1972 |
FAB
1 - 3
KAI
40%
22%
38%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 1972 |
FAB
2 - 1
UFT
73%
17%
10%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 1972 |
BOA
1 - 0
FAB
45%
29%
27%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | -1 |