Europa League Last 16
Global 2-2
Kaiserslautern vs Ararat Yerevan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.8%
Win probability
2.82
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
4.6%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.7%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.1%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
15.5%
13.7%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kaiserslautern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 1972 |
BAY
4 - 2
KAI
23%
20%
57%
|
79 | 62 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1972 |
EBT
0 - 0
KAI
37%
27%
36%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1972 |
ARA
2 - 0
KAI
38%
24%
38%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 1972 |
KAI
3 - 1
BRE
54%
23%
22%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1972 |
KAI
3 - 1
BYM
19%
25%
57%
|
79 | 90 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Ararat Yerevan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 1972 |
ARA
2 - 0
KAI
38%
24%
38%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1972 |
ARA
4 - 2
GCZ
47%
22%
31%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 1972 |
GCZ
1 - 3
ARA
68%
17%
15%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 1972 |
ARA
1 - 0
EPA
90%
8%
3%
|
69 | 7 | 62 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1972 |
EPA
0 - 1
ARA
14%
22%
65%
|
68 | 7 | 61 | +1 |