Kaiserslautern vs Köln analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.3%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.6%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.7%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
49.8%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.1%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
2º
12º
5º
37
1º
13º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
2º
|
37 | 64 |
1º
|
43.5% | |
|
1º
|
38 | 62 |
2º
|
39% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 57 |
3º
|
20.5% | |
|
3º
|
35 | 54 |
4º
|
14.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
35 | 54 |
5º
|
12.5% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 54 |
6º
|
15.5% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 53 |
7º
|
9.5% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 51 |
8º
|
17% | |
|
13º
|
25 | 49 |
9º
|
16.5% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 47 |
10º
|
9.5% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 46 |
11º
|
13% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 44 |
12º
|
13.5% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 43 |
13º
|
17.5% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 41 |
14º
|
31% | |
|
15º
|
20 | 35 |
15º
|
31.5% | |
|
16º
|
17 | 30 |
16º
|
35% | |
|
17º
|
15 | 27 |
17º
|
33% | |
|
18º
|
14 | 26 |
18º
|
53.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
15.5% | 68.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
6.5% | 19% |
|
Mid-table
|
78% | 12.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kaiserslautern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
DAR
5 - 1
KAI
43%
25%
32%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
KAI
3 - 1
KSC
37%
23%
40%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2024 |
S04
0 - 3
KAI
43%
25%
32%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
KAI
3 - 2
EBT
53%
23%
24%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2024 |
KAI
3 - 2
RAC
59%
21%
20%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
KOL
3 - 1
FCN
65%
20%
15%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
SSV
0 - 1
KOL
15%
20%
65%
|
87 | 71 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2024 |
KOL
2 - 1
HER
50%
22%
28%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
KOL
2 - 2
HAN
57%
22%
21%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2024 |
PRE
0 - 1
KOL
20%
21%
60%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | 0 |