Kairat Almaty vs Zhetysu Taldykorgan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.5%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
14%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
1º
8º
2º
16
3º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
25 | 46 |
1º
|
50% | |
|
|
3º
|
21 | 42 |
2º
|
28% | |
|
2º
|
22 | 40 |
3º
|
23% | |
|
4º
|
19 | 37 |
4º
|
23% | |
|
9º
|
15 | 33 |
5º
|
19.5% | |
|
6º
|
17 | 33 |
6º
|
14% | |
|
5º
|
19 | 32 |
7º
|
15.5% | |
|
8º
|
16 | 31 |
8º
|
16.5% | |
|
11º
|
12 | 30 |
9º
|
17.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
16 | 28 |
10º
|
19% | |
|
10º
|
13 | 26 |
11º
|
20.5% | |
|
13º
|
7 | 22 |
12º
|
26% | |
|
12º
|
8 | 20 |
13º
|
53.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
21.5% | 0.5% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
53% | 0.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
25.5% | 84.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 14.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kairat Almaty
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
ORD
1 - 2
KAI
44%
25%
31%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2024 |
FKT
0 - 0
KAI
45%
25%
31%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
KAI
2 - 1
KYZ
60%
23%
17%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2024 |
SPA
6 - 0
KAI
56%
21%
22%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
KAI
2 - 1
FCR
50%
23%
26%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Zhetysu Taldykorgan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
ATY
0 - 1
ZHE
43%
28%
29%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2024 |
ZHE
0 - 2
AST
26%
27%
47%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2024 |
FKL
1 - 1
ZHE
18%
22%
60%
|
66 | 52 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
VOL
0 - 0
ZHE
17%
22%
61%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
FCA
2 - 2
ZHE
68%
20%
13%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | +1 |