Kairat Almaty vs Tobol Kostanay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
27.3%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
1º
8º
3º
24
1º
7º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
4º
|
33 | 44 |
1º
|
37% | |
|
3º
|
34 | 42 |
2º
|
19% | |
|
|
2º
|
35 | 42 |
3º
|
17% | |
|
1º
|
37 | 41 |
4º
|
23% | |
|
5º
|
27 | 39 |
5º
|
26.5% | |
|
6º
|
26 | 34 |
6º
|
36.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
24 | 33 |
7º
|
35% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 30 |
8º
|
26% | |
|
7º
|
25 | 29 |
9º
|
27% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 27 |
10º
|
33.5% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 26 |
11º
|
39.5% | |
|
12º
|
13 | 20 |
12º
|
73% | |
|
13º
|
9 | 14 |
13º
|
93.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
27.5% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
42.5% | 1% |
|
Mid-table
|
30% | 99% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kairat Almaty
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
KYZ
0 - 1
KAI
32%
27%
41%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
KAI
4 - 1
FKY
58%
24%
18%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
SHA
0 - 3
KAI
33%
27%
41%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
KAI
1 - 1
FKZ
63%
22%
15%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
AST
1 - 3
KAI
45%
25%
30%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Tobol Kostanay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
ZHE
0 - 3
TOB
31%
27%
42%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
TOB
1 - 2
KYZ
49%
28%
24%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2024 |
TOB
0 - 1
STG
20%
22%
58%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2024 |
STG
4 - 1
TOB
67%
19%
14%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2024 |
TOB
1 - 0
RUZ
37%
26%
37%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |