Kairat Almaty vs FC Kyzylzhar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
17.3%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
1º
8º
2º
19
2º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
36 | 43 |
1º
|
43.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
35 | 42 |
2º
|
30.5% | |
|
5º
|
31 | 41 |
3º
|
12% | |
|
4º
|
34 | 41 |
4º
|
24% | |
|
1º
|
37 | 41 |
5º
|
19% | |
|
6º
|
30 | 37 |
6º
|
31% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 34 |
7º
|
48.5% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 29 |
8º
|
42.5% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 27 |
9º
|
33% | |
|
|
10º
|
19 | 26 |
10º
|
30% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 25 |
11º
|
39% | |
|
12º
|
14 | 19 |
12º
|
78% | |
|
13º
|
9 | 13 |
13º
|
97.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
21.5% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
56% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
22.5% | 90% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 10% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kairat Almaty
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2024 |
SPA
6 - 0
KAI
56%
21%
22%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
KAI
2 - 1
FCR
50%
23%
26%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2024 |
SAD
2 - 0
KAI
45%
24%
31%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
LOK
4 - 1
KAI
55%
22%
23%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
ATY
0 - 0
KAI
22%
25%
53%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
FC Kyzylzhar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2024 |
ARS
2 - 0
KYZ
35%
26%
39%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2024 |
FCC
2 - 0
KYZ
13%
21%
66%
|
71 | 47 | 24 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2024 |
AKT
1 - 2
KYZ
36%
26%
37%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2024 |
TER
4 - 0
KYZ
52%
24%
24%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2024 |
GDA
1 - 0
KYZ
60%
23%
18%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |