Kairat Almaty vs Kaysar Kyzylorda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.2%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
21.5%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
1º
8º
3º
25
6º
12º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
4º
|
33 | 44 |
1º
|
37% | |
|
3º
|
34 | 42 |
2º
|
19% | |
|
|
2º
|
35 | 42 |
3º
|
17% | |
|
1º
|
37 | 41 |
4º
|
23% | |
|
5º
|
27 | 39 |
5º
|
26.5% | |
|
6º
|
26 | 34 |
6º
|
36.5% | |
|
8º
|
24 | 33 |
7º
|
35% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 30 |
8º
|
26% | |
|
|
7º
|
25 | 29 |
9º
|
27% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 27 |
10º
|
33.5% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 26 |
11º
|
39.5% | |
|
12º
|
13 | 20 |
12º
|
73% | |
|
13º
|
9 | 14 |
13º
|
93.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
27.5% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
42.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
30% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kairat Almaty
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
KAI
3 - 4
ZEN
32%
25%
43%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
KAI
0 - 1
AST
51%
25%
24%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
KAI
2 - 2
TOB
48%
25%
27%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
KYZ
0 - 1
KAI
32%
27%
41%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
KAI
4 - 1
FKY
58%
24%
18%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Kaysar Kyzylorda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2024 |
KAI
0 - 1
AST
37%
28%
35%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
FKZ
1 - 0
KAI
33%
29%
39%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
KAI
2 - 1
ORD
35%
28%
37%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
KAI
0 - 0
ZHE
48%
27%
25%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
FCA
1 - 1
KAI
55%
24%
22%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |