Kairat Almaty vs Zhenis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.7%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
15.1%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
1º
8º
2º
13
6º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
33 | 44 |
1º
|
52.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
32 | 42 |
2º
|
22% | |
|
1º
|
34 | 41 |
3º
|
25.5% | |
|
2º
|
34 | 41 |
4º
|
23% | |
|
5º
|
27 | 41 |
5º
|
19% | |
|
7º
|
24 | 35 |
6º
|
27% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 33 |
7º
|
33.5% | |
|
6º
|
25 | 30 |
8º
|
34.5% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 27 |
9º
|
21% | |
|
11º
|
16 | 27 |
10º
|
23.5% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 25 |
11º
|
41% | |
|
|
12º
|
13 | 21 |
12º
|
58% | |
|
13º
|
9 | 17 |
13º
|
86% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
13% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
45.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
41.5% | 29% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 71% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kairat Almaty
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
AST
1 - 3
KAI
45%
25%
30%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
TOB
1 - 0
KAI
39%
27%
35%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
KAI
4 - 2
SHA
50%
24%
25%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
FKY
1 - 1
KAI
30%
27%
42%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
FKZ
0 - 2
KAI
29%
27%
45%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Zhenis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jun. 2024 |
FKZ
1 - 3
ORD
29%
28%
43%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2024 |
ZHE
2 - 2
FKZ
48%
28%
24%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
FKZ
0 - 1
ATY
38%
29%
33%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
KAI
1 - 0
FKZ
46%
28%
27%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
FKZ
0 - 2
KAI
29%
27%
45%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | -1 |