Kairat Almaty vs Yelimay Semey analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.2%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
18%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+51%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
1º
8º
1º
34
1º
9º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
2º
|
32 | 42 |
1º
|
23.5% | |
|
4º
|
30 | 41 |
2º
|
13% | |
|
|
1º
|
34 | 41 |
3º
|
22.5% | |
|
3º
|
32 | 39 |
4º
|
23% | |
|
7º
|
24 | 38 |
5º
|
19% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 35 |
6º
|
23% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 34 |
7º
|
20.5% | |
|
5º
|
25 | 32 |
8º
|
18% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 28 |
9º
|
19% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 27 |
10º
|
26.5% | |
|
11º
|
16 | 27 |
11º
|
14.5% | |
|
12º
|
13 | 21 |
12º
|
63.5% | |
|
13º
|
9 | 17 |
13º
|
82% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
23.5% | 14.5% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
53.5% | 45% |
|
Mid-table
|
23% | 40.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kairat Almaty
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
SHA
0 - 3
KAI
33%
27%
41%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
KAI
1 - 1
FKZ
63%
22%
15%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
AST
1 - 3
KAI
45%
25%
30%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
TOB
1 - 0
KAI
39%
27%
35%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
KAI
4 - 2
SHA
50%
24%
25%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Yelimay Semey
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
FKY
1 - 0
FKZ
49%
27%
25%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
KAI
2 - 1
FKY
45%
28%
27%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Jun. 2024 |
FKY
1 - 1
ZHE
44%
28%
28%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Jun. 2024 |
FKT
2 - 2
FKY
56%
25%
19%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2024 |
FKY
2 - 1
FCA
30%
24%
47%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | +1 |