Kairat Almaty vs Astana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.2%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
24.1%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
1º
8º
3º
27
2º
9º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
4º
|
33 | 44 |
1º
|
37% | |
|
3º
|
34 | 42 |
2º
|
19% | |
|
|
2º
|
35 | 42 |
3º
|
17% | |
|
1º
|
37 | 41 |
4º
|
23% | |
|
|
5º
|
27 | 39 |
5º
|
26.5% | |
|
6º
|
26 | 34 |
6º
|
36.5% | |
|
8º
|
24 | 33 |
7º
|
35% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 30 |
8º
|
26% | |
|
7º
|
25 | 29 |
9º
|
27% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 27 |
10º
|
33.5% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 26 |
11º
|
39.5% | |
|
12º
|
13 | 20 |
12º
|
73% | |
|
13º
|
9 | 14 |
13º
|
93.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
27.5% | 8.5% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
42.5% | 30% |
|
Mid-table
|
30% | 61.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kairat Almaty
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
KAI
2 - 2
TOB
48%
25%
27%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
KYZ
0 - 1
KAI
32%
27%
41%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
KAI
4 - 1
FKY
58%
24%
18%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
SHA
0 - 3
KAI
33%
27%
41%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
KAI
1 - 1
FKZ
63%
22%
15%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Astana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2024 |
AST
3 - 0
BBS
29%
23%
48%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2024 |
BBS
2 - 0
AST
64%
21%
16%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2024 |
AST
6 - 1
HUN
59%
21%
20%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2024 |
HUN
1 - 2
AST
34%
25%
41%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
AST
2 - 1
FKT
46%
25%
28%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | +1 |