Kairat Almaty vs FC Aktobe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
27.9%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
1º
8º
2º
34
1º
4º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
36 | 43 |
1º
|
43.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
35 | 42 |
2º
|
30.5% | |
|
5º
|
31 | 41 |
3º
|
12% | |
|
|
4º
|
34 | 41 |
4º
|
24% | |
|
1º
|
37 | 41 |
5º
|
19% | |
|
6º
|
30 | 37 |
6º
|
31% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 34 |
7º
|
48.5% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 29 |
8º
|
42.5% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 27 |
9º
|
33% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 26 |
10º
|
30% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 25 |
11º
|
39% | |
|
12º
|
14 | 19 |
12º
|
78% | |
|
13º
|
9 | 13 |
13º
|
97.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
21.5% | 2.5% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
56% | 33% |
|
Mid-table
|
22.5% | 64.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kairat Almaty
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
KAI
3 - 0
FKT
48%
24%
28%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
KAI
0 - 0
ZHE
66%
21%
14%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
ORD
1 - 2
KAI
44%
25%
31%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2024 |
FKT
0 - 0
KAI
45%
25%
31%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
KAI
2 - 1
KYZ
60%
23%
17%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
FC Aktobe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
FCA
1 - 0
ZHE
66%
19%
15%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
FCA
1 - 1
ATY
67%
20%
13%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
FCA
3 - 0
FKZ
62%
22%
16%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2024 |
FCR
1 - 1
FCA
41%
25%
35%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2024 |
KAI
1 - 3
FCA
31%
28%
42%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | +1 |