Kahramanmaras Istiklal vs Zonguldak Kömürspor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.9%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
62.5%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.3%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10.9%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+550%
+32%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
9
3º
14º
14º
9
2º
3º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
9 | 68 |
1º
|
66% | |
|
|
2º
|
9 | 63 |
2º
|
34% | |
|
7º
|
5 | 56 |
3º
|
25% | |
|
4º
|
7 | 52 |
4º
|
20% | |
|
5º
|
7 | 47 |
5º
|
11.5% | |
|
10º
|
4 | 45 |
6º
|
16.5% | |
|
15º
|
0 | 42 |
7º
|
6.5% | |
|
9º
|
4 | 40 |
8º
|
10% | |
|
13º
|
0 | 39 |
9º
|
11% | |
|
6º
|
6 | 39 |
10º
|
7% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 38 |
11º
|
11.5% | |
|
12º
|
1 | 37 |
12º
|
12.5% | |
|
14º
|
0 | 33 |
13º
|
11.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
9 | 29 |
14º
|
20% | |
|
8º
|
5 | 25 |
15º
|
34% | |
|
11º
|
1 | 15 |
16º
|
68.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 22.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 34% |
|
Next round
|
2% | 41.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
59.5% | 2% |
|
Relegation
|
38.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kahramanmaras Istiklal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
KIR
1 - 2
KAH
78%
14%
8%
|
14 | 36 | 22 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
EDI
0 - 2
KAH
81%
12%
7%
|
12 | 40 | 28 | +2 |
| 10 Sep. 2024 |
KAH
0 - 1
KIL
15%
17%
68%
|
13 | 28 | 15 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
KAH
1 - 0
ASP
10%
16%
74%
|
7 | 40 | 33 | +6 |
Matches
Zonguldak Kömürspor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
ZON
2 - 0
ASP
71%
18%
11%
|
51 | 37 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
BUY
0 - 2
ZON
23%
24%
53%
|
51 | 36 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2024 |
ZON
2 - 0
BAR
67%
20%
13%
|
50 | 31 | 19 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
ZON
2 - 0
TAL
69%
19%
13%
|
50 | 29 | 21 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
ELA
1 - 1
ZON
20%
23%
57%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | 0 |