Kahramanmaras Istiklal vs Niğde Belediyesispor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.7%
Win probability
2.68
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.9%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.5%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9%
3-0
8%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.1%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.5%
11.8%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3012%
+2947%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
3º
8º
5º
18
11º
15º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
42 | 65 |
1º
|
54% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 62 |
2º
|
36.5% | |
|
1º
|
43 | 61 |
3º
|
27.5% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 58 |
4º
|
34.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
36 | 51 |
5º
|
35% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 51 |
6º
|
39% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 44 |
7º
|
55% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 38 |
8º
|
27.5% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 37 |
9º
|
23% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 32 |
10º
|
19% | |
|
11º
|
18 | 32 |
11º
|
17% | |
|
16º
|
10 | 30 |
12º
|
18.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
18 | 27 |
13º
|
16.5% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 25 |
14º
|
19.5% | |
|
15º
|
11 | 23 |
15º
|
20.5% | |
|
14º
|
11 | 22 |
16º
|
37.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
1.5% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
86.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
12% | 57.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 42.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kahramanmaras Istiklal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
ORD
1 - 1
KAH
78%
14%
8%
|
27 | 54 | 27 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
KAH
1 - 1
MBB
24%
25%
52%
|
25 | 46 | 21 | +2 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
DEN
0 - 4
KAH
73%
16%
11%
|
23 | 46 | 23 | +2 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
KAH
4 - 0
TUR
14%
17%
69%
|
17 | 40 | 23 | +6 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
SGS
1 - 0
KAH
81%
12%
7%
|
17 | 47 | 30 | 0 |
Matches
Niğde Belediyesispor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
NBS
1 - 5
ASP
16%
18%
66%
|
18 | 44 | 26 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2024 |
SAR
1 - 0
NBS
80%
14%
7%
|
18 | 59 | 41 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
BUY
1 - 2
NBS
75%
15%
10%
|
17 | 36 | 19 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
NBS
2 - 0
TAL
14%
18%
69%
|
11 | 37 | 26 | +6 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
POL
2 - 1
NBS
84%
10%
6%
|
11 | 35 | 24 | 0 |