Kagran vs Wienerberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.2%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
2%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.9%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
11.1%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.6%
63.2%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
18.5%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
4.5%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
12.2%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6.4%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-39%
+15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
9º
15º
15º
40
8º
14º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
78 | 78 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
75 | 75 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 51 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 34 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
30 | 30 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
29 | 29 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
24 | 24 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
19 | 19 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kagran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2024 |
MAN
2 - 3
KAG
76%
14%
10%
|
11 | 19 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
KAG
4 - 3
WAF
20%
20%
61%
|
9 | 17 | 8 | +2 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
SVH
7 - 4
KAG
82%
11%
6%
|
10 | 32 | 22 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
STA
4 - 1
KAG
76%
14%
9%
|
10 | 23 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
KAG
0 - 2
SPO
10%
15%
75%
|
11 | 43 | 32 | -1 |
Matches
Wienerberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
WIE
3 - 1
SKS
37%
22%
41%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2024 |
DON
1 - 0
WIE
45%
23%
32%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
WIE
2 - 1
RED
36%
22%
42%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2024 |
WIE
1 - 2
FCW
49%
22%
30%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
STA
0 - 2
WIE
55%
22%
23%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | +1 |