Kagran vs Schwechat analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
10.1%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.7%
66.3%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
2.8%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
19.2%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
4.8%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
13.1%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
2.4%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
7.2%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.3%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-39%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
9º
15º
15º
36
9º
16º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
78 | 78 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
75 | 75 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 51 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 34 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
30 | 30 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
29 | 29 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
24 | 24 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
19 | 19 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kagran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
SIM
2 - 1
KAG
67%
17%
16%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
KAG
4 - 0
FCW
10%
15%
75%
|
8 | 20 | 12 | +3 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
ASV
0 - 3
KAG
89%
8%
3%
|
5 | 15 | 10 | +3 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
SKS
5 - 3
KAG
93%
5%
2%
|
5 | 22 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
KAG
1 - 3
DON
6%
12%
82%
|
5 | 26 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Schwechat
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2023 |
SCH
1 - 3
SKS
38%
22%
40%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2023 |
DON
2 - 2
SCH
64%
19%
17%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2023 |
SCH
0 - 3
RED
83%
11%
6%
|
21 | 12 | 9 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
STA
5 - 1
SCH
51%
23%
27%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2023 |
WIE
3 - 2
SCH
31%
23%
47%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | -1 |