Kagoshima United vs Tokyo Verdy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.4%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.1%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
51.8%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.8%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kagoshima United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
EHI
2 - 2
KAG
50%
25%
25%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
MON
2 - 0
KAG
55%
24%
21%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2024 |
KAG
0 - 1
VEN
38%
26%
36%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
MIT
0 - 0
KAG
35%
26%
38%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
KAG
0 - 4
YOK
31%
26%
42%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Tokyo Verdy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
TOK
2 - 2
FCT
28%
28%
44%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
TOK
1 - 1
KAR
29%
28%
44%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2024 |
SHO
1 - 2
TOK
51%
25%
24%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
TOK
2 - 2
KYO
33%
28%
39%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
TOK
2 - 2
ALB
29%
27%
43%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |