Kagoshima United vs Nagasaki Institute analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.1%
Win probability
2.82
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.1%
5-0
5.4%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.8%
4-0
9.6%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.6%
3-0
13.7%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.1%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
10.7%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
5%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
10.7%
4.1%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kagoshima United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2018 |
KAG
2 - 1
SAG
61%
23%
17%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
KAT
0 - 2
KAG
27%
27%
47%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2018 |
KAG
2 - 2
PAR
49%
26%
24%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
GRU
1 - 4
KAG
28%
27%
45%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
KAG
2 - 1
RYK
47%
26%
28%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |