Kagera Sugar vs Tanzania Prisons analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.7%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.7%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.1%
1-0
15.4%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.8%
31.2%
Draw
0-0
14.4%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
31.2%
29%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kagera Sugar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2023 |
KAG
0 - 0
KFC
74%
18%
8%
|
57 | 12 | 45 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2023 |
DJF
1 - 0
KAG
43%
28%
29%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2023 |
MTI
0 - 2
KAG
40%
28%
32%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2023 |
KAG
1 - 1
NAM
30%
29%
41%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2023 |
JKT
1 - 1
KAG
39%
29%
32%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Tanzania Prisons
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2023 |
TAN
0 - 0
GGF
41%
28%
32%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2023 |
KMC
1 - 1
TAN
56%
25%
19%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
TAN
1 - 1
JKT
43%
27%
29%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
TAN
3 - 2
MTI
45%
28%
27%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2023 |
TAN
1 - 3
SIM
28%
28%
44%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | -1 |