Kagera Sugar vs Mbeya City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.5%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.3%
28.2%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kagera Sugar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2020 |
KAG
0 - 0
DJF
31%
27%
41%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2020 |
NAM
2 - 1
KAG
60%
25%
16%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
AZA
4 - 2
KAG
70%
20%
10%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2020 |
KAG
1 - 0
KMC
34%
28%
38%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
KAG
0 - 1
YOU
24%
29%
47%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Mbeya City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2020 |
MWA
2 - 1
MBE
56%
24%
20%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2020 |
DJF
0 - 0
MBE
60%
23%
17%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
MBE
0 - 0
TAN
35%
31%
34%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2020 |
MBE
0 - 1
NAM
23%
28%
50%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2020 |
MBE
0 - 1
AZA
23%
29%
48%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | -1 |