Kagera Sugar vs Mbao analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.1%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.2%
18.7%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kagera Sugar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2020 |
KAG
1 - 2
AFC
53%
26%
21%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
KAG
0 - 0
BUM
51%
28%
22%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2020 |
KAG
2 - 1
MWA
47%
28%
25%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
KAG
3 - 0
SUT
54%
26%
20%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2020 |
YOU
0 - 3
KAG
69%
19%
12%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Mbao
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2020 |
BUM
1 - 0
MBA
54%
26%
21%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
AFC
1 - 1
MBA
55%
24%
20%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2020 |
NDA
3 - 0
MBA
36%
30%
34%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | -2 |
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
NAM
3 - 0
MBA
67%
21%
11%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2020 |
MBA
1 - 2
SIM
17%
26%
58%
|
54 | 70 | 16 | -1 |