Kagera Sugar vs KenGold analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.1%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.5%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.6%
12.4%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kagera Sugar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2024 |
KAG
0 - 0
JKT
35%
29%
36%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2024 |
KFC
1 - 0
KAG
24%
27%
49%
|
56 | 32 | 24 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2024 |
KAG
0 - 2
YOU
32%
29%
38%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
KAG
0 - 1
IFC
35%
30%
35%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2024 |
SBS
2 - 3
KAG
47%
28%
25%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
KenGold
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2024 |
KMC
1 - 0
KEN
79%
14%
7%
|
6 | 58 | 52 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2024 |
SBS
2 - 1
KEN
76%
15%
8%
|
6 | 57 | 51 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
KEN
1 - 3
IFC
15%
22%
64%
|
7 | 59 | 52 | -1 |