Kagera Sugar vs Geita Gold analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.3%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.2%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.7%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.5%
29.9%
Draw
0-0
12.1%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.9%
34.8%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-40%
-26%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
6º
16º
10º
37
5º
16º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
78 | 78 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
73 | 73 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
59 | 59 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
54 | 55 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 40 |
5º
|
87% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 37 |
6º
|
63% | |
|
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
|
11º
|
35 | 36 |
10º
|
29% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
53% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 33 |
12º
|
57.5% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 32 |
13º
|
29.5% | |
|
14º
|
29 | 30 |
14º
|
72% | |
|
15º
|
25 | 25 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
20 | 20 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CAF Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
CAF Confederation Cup
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kagera Sugar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2022 |
KAG
1 - 1
SIM
33%
30%
38%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2022 |
KAG
2 - 2
AZA
32%
30%
38%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2022 |
KAG
2 - 0
IFC
42%
30%
27%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2022 |
KAG
1 - 0
MTI
40%
30%
30%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2022 |
TAN
0 - 1
KAG
35%
30%
35%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Geita Gold
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2022 |
GGF
1 - 1
AZA
44%
27%
29%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
GGF
0 - 5
SIM
45%
28%
27%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
GGF
2 - 2
MTI
53%
27%
20%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2022 |
GGF
1 - 0
IFC
56%
25%
19%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
MBE
0 - 0
GGF
37%
29%
35%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |