Kagera Sugar vs Azam FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.8%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.5%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.5%
28.9%
Draw
0-0
11.2%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.9%
42.3%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
13.8%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
23.6%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kagera Sugar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2023 |
SIM
3 - 0
KAG
63%
21%
16%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
COA
1 - 0
KAG
34%
31%
35%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2023 |
KAG
1 - 1
KMC
37%
31%
32%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2023 |
KAG
2 - 1
TAN
40%
31%
29%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2023 |
KAG
0 - 0
KFC
74%
18%
8%
|
57 | 12 | 45 | 0 |
Matches
Azam FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2023 |
AZA
2 - 1
JKT
62%
21%
17%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2023 |
AZA
5 - 0
KMC
56%
24%
20%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2023 |
AZA
5 - 0
MTI
68%
20%
12%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
IFC
1 - 3
AZA
42%
28%
30%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2023 |
MFC
0 - 3
AZA
10%
19%
71%
|
59 | 12 | 47 | +1 |